Essays on Innovation, Technology and Change

Writing

Essays on problem framing, innovation systems, emerging technologies and organizational change.

Problem Framing & Decision Design4 min read·Oct 14, 2026

The 10-minute test for whether an AI use case has a business case

Before calculating AI ROI, trace how an accepted output changes a real operating decision and creates captured value.

Problem Framing & Decision Design10 min read·Sep 28, 2026

Cahit Arf’s 1959 question about thinking machines

In a 1959 text on thinking machines, Cahit Arf moved from clocks and relays to a harder question: what happens when a machine meets a problem that was not anticipated when it was built?

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Problem Framing & Decision Design14 min read·Sep 26, 2026

The wrong questions about AI right now

Many of the questions that helped us orient ourselves around generative AI are now too blunt to be useful. The harder work is no longer asking what AI is in the abstract, but specifying where it works, where it fails, what authority it should have, and what the whole system costs.

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Problem Framing & Decision Design8 min read·Sep 23, 2026

Keep the AI ideas you rejected

A new model release should not restart your AI roadmap. It should reopen only the ideas that were rejected for a constraint the release actually changed.

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For shorter, claim-by-claim answers, see common AI misconceptions tested against the evidence, each linked to the essays behind it.

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